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Red180
61087.4
18863.8
491459.2
Blue171
400139.8
434345.2
497646.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2311120200300400180171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
87.40.5
88.087.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.6
4976
#15
46.80.7
46.447.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
188
#1
63.80.5
64.463.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
45.20.7
44.845.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4914
#30
59.20.5
59.859.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
4001
#16
39.80.7
39.440.1
Auto
Teleop
End