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Red26
86520.5
425016.9
88617.0
Blue113
131063.4
509116.3
50949.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698805015020025030026113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#10
20.53.8
27.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 42.9
63.42.3
51.453.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
886
#27
17.03.8
26.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
5091
#16
16.32.3
25.027.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4250
#11
16.93.8
18.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
5094
#24
9.62.3
9.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End