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Red110
491451.0
293546.0
509215.4
Blue130
86520.5
18843.9
285248.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511180100150200250300110130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#21
51.04.1
27.631.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
48.61.9
57.959.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.04.1
29.033.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
188
#20
43.91.9
26.127.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5092
#29
15.44.1
4.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
865
#10
20.51.9
23.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End