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Red167
293546.0
495127.1
400136.4
Blue140
181547.8
88617.0
494635.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10087050150200250167140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.05.8
34.340.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1815
#17
47.84.3
36.640.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4001
#22
36.45.8
38.644.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
35.84.3
22.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
27.15.8
24.930.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
886
#27
17.04.3
29.433.7
Auto
Teleop
End