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Red38
509116.3
400136.4
218525.0
Blue89
425016.9
49399.0
50766.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86160501001502003889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#22
36.42.5
34.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
4250
#11
16.94.1
13.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2185
#23
25.02.5
24.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
4939
#19
9.04.1
10.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5091
#16
16.32.5
15.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
5076
#28
6.94.1
2.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End