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Red180
430833.5
494635.8
263418.7
Blue105
509215.4
400136.4
18843.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57740100150200250180105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.87.3
26.934.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
188
#20
43.92.0
31.233.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4308
#12
33.57.3
21.228.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4001
#22
36.42.0
32.334.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2634
#30
18.77.3
11.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
5092
#29
15.42.0
8.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End