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Red71
124172.9
285248.6
354116.1
Blue115
18843.9
293546.0
370519.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1509205020025030071115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.91.2
74.172.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
46.00.2
43.443.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.61.2
49.748.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
188
#20
43.90.2
41.341.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3541
#26
16.11.2
17.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3705
#25
19.30.2
16.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End