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Red52
398623.3
28814.4
132528.4
Blue11
425220.3
14047.4
317321.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556601001502005211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.4
17.116.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
3173
#39
21.34.4
35.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3986
#40
23.30.4
20.420.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
4252
#24
20.34.4
13.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#42
14.40.4
19.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1404
#34
7.44.4
15.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End