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Red48
21620.3
317321.3
28814.4
Blue46
128536.9
121911.7
316122.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81590501001502004846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#39
21.32.5
30.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
1285
#13
36.91.3
18.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#27
20.32.5
27.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3161
#43
22.21.3
26.625.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#42
14.42.5
19.016.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1219
#46
11.71.3
17.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End