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Red91
338717.6
201348.7
85419.5
Blue96
260133.8
107527.0
316122.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636240507080909196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.72.4
33.836.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
2601
#18
33.82.8
14.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
#45
19.52.4
8.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1075
#17
27.02.8
22.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3387
#48
17.62.4
20.222.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3161
#43
22.22.8
25.228.0
Auto
Teleop
End