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Red200
461819.8
150354.6
482546.5
Blue81
14047.4
260927.0
28814.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8842010015020020081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.69.9
37.747.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
2609
#15
27.02.7
24.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4825
#11
46.59.9
26.836.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.1
288
#42
14.42.7
16.619.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4618
#30
19.89.9
16.826.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
1404
#34
7.42.7
8.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End