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Red132
128536.9
482546.5
124169.2
Blue118
447657.7
107527.0
425220.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13971050100200250300132118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#14
69.20.2
73.473.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
57.73.1
45.548.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4825
#11
46.50.3
36.737.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
1075
#17
27.03.1
25.528.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1285
#13
36.90.3
18.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
4252
#24
20.33.1
10.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End