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Red189
425220.3
201348.7
472716.2
Blue111
505126.1
219834.6
121911.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57470100150189111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.711.1
35.746.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
2198
#21
34.65.2
24.029.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4252
#24
20.311.1
13.424.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
5051
#26
26.15.2
13.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4727
#35
16.211.1
6.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1219
#46
11.75.2
10.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End