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Red16
398623.3
46279.5
478310.9
Blue91
503126.2
336040.3
107527.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509401502002501691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#40
23.33.4
22.619.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
3360
#20
40.30.3
29.129.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4783
#25
10.93.4
17.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
1075
#17
27.00.3
28.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4627
#37
9.53.4
17.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
5031
#12
26.20.3
29.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End