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Red70
85419.5
505126.1
150354.6
Blue18
121911.7
355026.8
398623.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964401502002507018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.61.5
46.144.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.8
3550
#22
26.82.7
16.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5051
#26
26.11.4
19.718.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3986
#40
23.32.7
22.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
854
#45
19.51.4
22.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1219
#46
11.72.7
13.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End