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Red145
505126.1
336040.3
91932.1
Blue75
338643.5
299420.2
398523.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849305015020025014575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#20
40.34.3
35.539.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3386
#28
43.51.1
46.245.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
919
#19
32.13.9
28.232.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3985
#29
23.11.1
24.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5051
#26
26.13.9
22.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2994
#33
20.21.1
21.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End