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Red50
503615.2
472716.2
461819.8
Blue117
85419.5
447657.7
132528.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3411005015020025030050117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#30
19.80.3
15.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.0
57.71.3
52.453.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4727
#35
16.20.3
16.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
28.41.4
27.228.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5036
#44
15.20.3
14.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
854
#45
19.51.3
18.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End