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Red32
336040.3
461819.8
74621.0
Blue90
219834.6
78141.8
398832.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805801001502003290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#20
40.33.7
24.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
781
#10
41.82.4
33.936.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
746
#31
21.02.2
28.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
2198
#21
34.62.4
14.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4618
#30
19.83.7
23.619.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
32.52.4
12.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End