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Red110
133437.8
130512.1
78166.7
Blue11
503323.2
77120.5
477736.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10358015020025030035011011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#7
66.70.7
41.241.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.4
4777
#15
36.44.5
19.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1334
#19
37.81.1
30.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
5033
#26
23.24.5
20.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1305
#28
12.11.1
24.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
771
#25
20.54.5
25.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End