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Red140
451934.8
491750.2
499221.5
Blue17
452526.1
270215.1
494317.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5378010015020025030014017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.26.9
21.027.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
4525
#22
26.14.8
18.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4519
#16
34.86.9
26.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
4943
#27
17.64.8
26.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4992
#20
21.56.9
9.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
2702
#21
15.14.8
29.324.5
Auto
Teleop
End