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Red100
130512.1
124178.7
77120.5
Blue166
491750.2
494317.6
503211.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131540100150200250300350100166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
78.71.0
72.871.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
50.28.3
27.936.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
771
#25
20.51.6
20.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4943
#27
17.68.3
22.030.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1305
#28
12.11.6
26.024.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
5032
#29
11.58.3
16.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End