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Qual 322014 Waterloo Regional
Red115
499221.5
124178.7
86530.4
Blue119
451934.8
260937.1
403976.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119115050100150200250115119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
78.70.2
73.5→73.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
4039
#1
76.50.3
51.3→51.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
865
#24
30.40.2
23.2→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.7
2609
#9
37.10.2
33.0→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4992
#20
21.50.3
21.6→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.3
4519
#16
34.80.3
30.9→31.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—