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Red56
452526.1
86530.4
77120.5
Blue311
503323.2
78166.7
406946.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6194015020025030056311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#24
30.40.5
23.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.3
781
#7
66.711.1
51.662.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4525
#22
26.10.8
24.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
4069
#14
46.517.3
31.648.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
#25
20.50.8
18.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
5033
#26
23.217.3
5.723.0
Auto
Teleop
End