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Red220
254115.0
205692.6
452526.1
Blue120
473222.4
78166.7
477736.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248960200300400220120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
115.00.2
110.3110.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 48.3
781
#7
66.70.0
64.964.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
92.60.2
89.088.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 56.3
4777
#15
36.40.0
31.031.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4525
#22
26.10.2
24.624.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
4732
#17
22.40.0
23.623.6
Auto
Teleop
End