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Qual 562014 Waterloo Regional
Red20
490729.0
467851.3
503211.5
Blue148
316139.0
477736.4
452526.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098705015020025020148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#12
51.34.8
53.6→48.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.3
3161
#10
39.02.9
35.2→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4907
#18
29.04.8
32.9→28.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
4777
#15
36.43.2
31.1→34.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5032
#29
11.54.8
19.1→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.6
4525
#22
26.13.2
24.4→27.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—