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Red58
394921.6
499221.5
503323.2
Blue151
128549.6
467851.3
130512.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54116010015020025058151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5033
#26
23.20.3
23.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
4678
#12
51.32.3
48.851.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3949
#30
21.60.3
21.821.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.0
49.62.3
47.349.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4992
#20
21.50.3
18.418.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1305
#28
12.12.3
9.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End