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Semifinal 1-12014 Waterloo Regional
Red156
1114117.4
403976.5
490729.0
Blue186
499221.5
124178.7
368388.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23618450100150200300350400156186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#3
117.41.2
119.0→117.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 28.6
3683
#6
88.90.1
89.7→89.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4039
#1
76.51.2
78.0→76.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
1241
#11
78.70.1
79.6→79.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4907
#18
29.01.2
30.5→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
4992
#20
21.50.1
22.4→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—