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Red326
254115.0
205692.6
86530.4
Blue126
128549.6
477736.4
491750.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2531150200300400326126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
115.01.6
112.8114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 64.8
50.20.2
50.450.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
92.61.6
90.492.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.1
49.60.2
49.749.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
#24
30.41.6
28.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
4777
#15
36.40.2
36.536.4
Auto
Teleop
End