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Red54
522116.8
130519.4
493619.4
Blue90
502431.2
356026.4
451934.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4010601502002505490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4936
#12
19.40.3
17.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
4519
#17
34.20.3
36.736.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1305
#25
19.40.2
21.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
5024
#31
31.20.5
26.726.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5221
#30
16.80.3
11.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
3560
#16
26.40.3
32.732.4
Auto
Teleop
End