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Red131
85417.4
128548.8
184626.5
Blue35
492212.1
494018.6
459514.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1063305015020013135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.8
54.055.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
4940
#27
18.60.8
15.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#20
26.51.8
21.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
4595
#35
14.50.5
13.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
854
#28
17.41.8
18.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4922
#40
12.10.8
14.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End