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Red113
493619.4
491750.6
494018.6
Blue52
49238.7
155940.5
471622.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886205010015020011352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#37
50.61.4
51.252.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
1559
#19
40.50.7
32.131.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4936
#12
19.42.4
17.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
4716
#29
22.80.7
20.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#27
18.62.4
15.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
4923
#32
8.71.2
14.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End