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Red111
493215.4
45135.3
124185.2
Blue153
1114106.2
311755.0
467854.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99235050150200300350400111153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.20.5
84.584.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
106.23.0
113.5110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
#15
35.30.5
27.727.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
55.03.0
44.041.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4932
#23
15.40.8
8.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.7
4678
#13
54.13.0
56.453.3
Auto
Teleop
End