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Red203
481428.6
205699.0
55535.2
Blue110
451934.2
132551.5
45135.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15398050200250203110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.02.9
96.199.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.6
1325
#14
51.50.2
43.143.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
#9
35.22.9
29.132.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
451
#15
35.30.2
27.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4814
#18
28.64.9
19.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4519
#17
34.20.2
36.136.3
Auto
Teleop
End