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Red207
124185.2
493817.0
356026.4
Blue101
280958.9
492110.0
78155.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121138050100200250207101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.24.2
84.188.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
58.91.7
53.752.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3560
#16
26.44.2
33.838.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.6
781
#22
55.01.7
68.066.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4938
#36
17.07.0
5.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4921
#33
10.02.8
13.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End