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Red106
155940.5
184626.5
502431.2
Blue108
49036.7
124185.2
481428.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71135050100150200250106108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#19
40.51.3
31.232.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 44.7
85.20.8
88.387.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5024
#31
31.21.9
26.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4814
#18
28.61.3
23.922.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1846
#20
26.51.3
23.024.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
4903
#34
6.71.3
12.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End