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Red91
128548.8
494018.6
45135.3
Blue49
130519.4
451934.2
528816.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109630501502009149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.5
53.552.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
4519
#17
34.21.1
36.335.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
#15
35.30.5
27.426.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
1305
#25
19.41.1
19.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#27
18.60.9
21.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
5288
#24
16.51.6
14.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End