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Red136
132551.5
471622.8
184626.5
Blue106
502431.2
14135.8
528816.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9263050150136106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#14
51.52.4
42.044.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
141
#26
35.81.9
26.528.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#20
26.52.4
24.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
5024
#31
31.22.8
28.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4716
#29
22.82.4
21.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
5288
#24
16.52.8
12.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End