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Red151
311755.0
45135.3
492017.9
Blue156
225275.0
492110.0
155940.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79125050100150200250300151156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.03.2
45.648.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
75.01.9
75.677.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
#15
35.33.2
26.830.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1559
#19
40.51.9
32.534.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4920
#38
17.94.7
13.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4921
#33
10.02.7
9.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End