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Red122
14135.8
522116.8
77246.9
Blue68
528816.5
45135.3
493619.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9445015020012268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#11
46.91.8
49.751.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
451
#15
35.30.9
21.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
#26
35.81.8
22.324.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
4936
#12
19.41.3
17.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5221
#30
16.80.2
16.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
5288
#24
16.512.9
28.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End