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Red107
494018.6
124185.2
128548.8
Blue147
280958.9
481428.6
467854.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166142050100200250300350400107147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.20.9
88.487.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
58.90.0
60.460.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.80.9
52.051.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4678
#13
54.10.0
55.655.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#27
18.61.0
22.221.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
4814
#18
28.60.0
30.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End