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Red130
494018.6
124185.2
128548.8
Blue102
481428.6
280958.9
467854.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163143050100200250300350400130102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.20.5
87.587.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
58.90.7
60.459.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.80.5
51.150.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4678
#13
54.10.7
55.654.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#27
18.60.6
21.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
4814
#18
28.60.8
30.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End