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Red140
247154.1
448859.5
367419.7
Blue148
95543.1
273313.5
142537.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13987050100200250140148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.2
58.658.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
955
#19
43.10.9
43.344.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
54.10.2
53.253.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
37.80.9
37.938.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3674
#24
19.70.2
18.718.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2733
#28
13.50.9
13.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End