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Red135
413211.9
405718.6
519821.1
Blue60
247154.1
357421.9
273313.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3897015020025030013560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5198
#18
21.10.0
21.421.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.0
54.12.3
37.435.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4057
#27
18.67.3
21.128.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
21.92.3
23.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4132
#15
11.97.3
12.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2733
#28
13.52.3
27.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End