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Red5
7532.2
413211.9
46528.7
Blue50
25428.5
255035.1
46927.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28630100150200250300550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4132
#15
11.92.4
19.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.2
35.10.6
27.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4652
#35
8.72.4
6.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2542
#22
8.50.6
15.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
#31
2.22.4
7.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4692
#34
7.50.6
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End