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Red22
367320.7
25178.9
25428.5
Blue11
413211.9
15714.5
281114.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443402060801001201402211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3673
#11
20.71.6
18.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2811
#25
14.81.9
15.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2517
#23
8.91.6
9.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4132
#15
11.91.9
16.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2542
#22
8.51.6
13.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1571
#30
4.51.9
3.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End