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Red30
263527.2
405718.6
281114.8
Blue80
413211.9
448859.5
273313.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578301001502002503003503080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.22.3
27.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.3
59.50.1
51.751.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4057
#27
18.62.3
20.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2733
#28
13.50.1
12.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2811
#25
14.82.3
13.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4132
#15
11.90.1
14.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End