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Red116
281114.8
357421.9
142537.8
Blue57
241120.3
99737.7
15714.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7058020408010012014011657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.82.6
35.838.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
997
#4
37.70.2
33.533.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.92.6
19.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2411
#12
20.30.2
21.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2811
#25
14.82.6
12.915.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1571
#30
4.50.2
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End