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Red104
251716.6
151034.4
252149.3
Blue73
411029.6
466218.1
135920.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11263015020025030010473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.0
50.550.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
4110
#11
29.60.0
30.330.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1510
#15
34.40.0
35.635.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
1359
#25
20.80.0
21.521.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#24
16.60.0
17.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4662
#26
18.10.0
18.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End