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Red81
99744.3
255049.6
291517.4
Blue50
299037.3
508534.5
412725.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116970501502002508150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.5
50.149.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
2990
#14
37.30.8
38.237.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
997
#10
44.30.5
44.744.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
5085
#12
34.50.8
35.334.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2915
#19
17.40.5
17.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
25.30.8
26.225.3
Auto
Teleop
End