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Red76
281144.6
251716.6
157117.4
Blue145
99744.3
95643.6
95556.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54145010020025030035076145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.4
40.641.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
955
#3
56.80.7
47.848.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.40.4
9.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.8
997
#10
44.30.7
40.841.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#24
16.60.4
18.218.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.9
956
#17
43.60.7
42.142.8
Auto
Teleop
End